| Foreword | 286 |
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| 6 | 286 |
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| Contents | 286 |
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| 8 | 286 |
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| Contributors | 286 |
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| 12 | 286 |
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| Part I Biology | 18 |
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| Geostatistical Modelling of Wildlife Populations:A Non-stationary Hierarchical Model for Count Data | 18 |
| 1 Introduction | 19 |
| 2 Model | 20 |
| 2.1 Hierarchical Model for Animals Sightings | 20 |
| 2.2 Expectation and Variance of Zs | 20 |
| 2.3 Variogram Expressions | 21 |
| 2.4 Estimation of X(h) | 22 |
| 2.5 Mapping Y by Multiplicative Poisson Kriging | 23 |
| 3 Fin Whale Abundance in Pelagos Sanctuary | 24 |
| 4 Results | 25 |
| 5 Discussion | 27 |
| References | 28 |
| Incorporating Survey Data to Improve Space–Time Geostatistical Analysis of King Prawn Catch Rate | 30 |
| 1 Introduction | 30 |
| 2 Data Description | 32 |
| 3 Temporal Trend Modelling | 32 |
| 4 Variography | 36 |
| 5 Opening of Extended Nursery Area | 37 |
| 6 Estimation | 39 |
| 7 Discussion | 41 |
| References | 41 |
| Part II Climate | 43 |
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| Multivariate Interpolation of Monthly Precipitation Amount in the United Kingdom | 43 |
| 1 Introduction | 43 |
| 2 Study Area and Data | 44 |
| 3 Methods | 46 |
| 4 Analysis | 47 |
| 5 Discussion | 53 |
| 6 Conclusions | 53 |
| References | 54 |
| Extreme Precipitation Modelling Using Geostatistics and Machine Learning Algorithms | 56 |
| 1 Introduction | 56 |
| 2 Multi Layer Perceptron | 57 |
| 2.1 Optimization Algorithms | 59 |
| 2.1.1 Conjugate Gradient Algorithm | 59 |
| 2.1.2 Levenberg-Marquardt Algorithm | 59 |
| 3 Case Studies and Methodology | 60 |
| 3.1 Case Study: Precipitation of 2nd and 3rd October 2006 | 60 |
| 3.2 Case Study: Precipitation from the 18th to the 23rd of August 2005 | 61 |
| 4 Results and Discussions | 62 |
| 4.1 Precipitation of 2nd and 3rd October 2006 | 62 |
| 4.2 Precipitation of 18th to 23rd of August 2005 | 64 |
| 5 Conclusions | 65 |
| References | 66 |
| On Geostatistical Analysis of Rainfall Using Data from Boundary Sites | 68 |
| 1 Introduction | 68 |
| 2 Material and Methods | 69 |
| 3 Results and Discussion | 71 |
| 4 Conclusions | 76 |
| References | 77 |
| Geostatistics Applied to the City of Porto Urban Climatology | 79 |
| 1 Introduction | 79 |
| 2 State of the Art | 80 |
| 3 Proposed Methodology | 81 |
| 4 Data Acquisition | 82 |
| 5 Geostatistical Study | 83 |
| 6 Discussion and Conclusions | 87 |
| References | 88 |
| Integrating Meteorological Dynamic Data and Historical Data into a Stochastic Model for Predicting Forest Fires Risk Maps | 90 |
| 1 Introduction | 91 |
| 2 Materials and Methods | 92 |
| 2.1 Meteorological and Forest Fire Data | 92 |
| 2.2 Method for Forest Fire Risk Assessment | 92 |
| 2.3 Tau Model | 94 |
| 2.4 Spatial Pattern Assessment | 95 |
| 3 Results and Discussion | 95 |
| 4 Conclusions | 100 |
| References | 101 |
| Part III Health | 102 |
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| Using Geostatistical Methods in the Analysis of Public Health Data: The Final Frontier? | 102 |
| 1 Introduction | 102 |
| 2 Motivating Study | 103 |
| 3 Challenges for Public Health | 103 |
| 3.1 Spatial Support | 103 |
| 3.2 Discrete Distributions | 105 |
| 3.3 Spatial Regression | 108 |
| 4 Conclusions | 110 |
| References | 110 |
| Second-Order Analysis of the Spatio-temporal Distribution of Human Campylobacteriosis in Preston, Lancashire | 112 |
| 1 Introduction | 112 |
| 2 The Space–Time Inhomogeneous K-Function | 113 |
| 2.1 Definition | 113 |
| 2.2 Non-parametric Estimation | 115 |
| 3 Application | 115 |
| 3.1 Test for Spatio-temporal Clustering | 116 |
| 3.2 Distribution of Cases Versus Population at Risk | 116 |
| 3.3 Test for Spatio-temporal Interaction | 117 |
| 3.4 Results | 118 |
| 4 Conclusion | 119 |
| References | 119 |
| Application of Geostatistics in Cancer Studies | 120 |
| 1 Introduction | 120 |
| 2 Analysis of Areal Data | 122 |
| 2.1 Cancer Risk Mapping | 122 |
| 2.2 Detection of Local Clusters of High and Low Mortality | 125 |
| 2.3 Tests of Hypothesis Using Spatial Neutral Models | 127 |
| 3 Analysis of Individual-Level Data | 129 |
| 4 Conclusions | 130 |
| References | 131 |
| Part IV Hydrology | 133 |
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| Blocking Markov Chain Monte Carlo Schemes for Inverse Stochastic Hydrogeological Modeling | 133 |
| 1 Introduction | 133 |
| 2 Bayesian Formulation | 134 |
| 3 Blocking Markov Chain Monte Carlo | 134 |
| 3.1 Scheme #1 | 135 |
| 3.2 Scheme #2 | 135 |
| 3.3 Scheme #3 | 135 |
| 3.4 Scheme #4 | 135 |
| 3.5 Scheme #5 | 136 |
| 4 A Numerical Experiment | 136 |
| 5 Conclusions | 138 |
| References | 138 |
| Simulation of Fine-Scale Heterogeneity of Meandering River Aquifer Analogues: Comparing Different Approaches | 139 |
| 1 Introduction | 140 |
| 2 Case History and Methods | 140 |
| 3 Geostatistical Simulations | 142 |
| 4 Discussion of Results | 144 |
| 5 Conclusions | 147 |
| References | 148 |
| Application of Multiple-Point Geostatistics on Modelling Groundwater Flow and Transport in a Cross-Bedded Aquifer | 150 |
| 1 Introduction | 150 |
| 2 Materials and Method | 151 |
| 2.1 Geological Setting | 151 |
| 2.2 Field Mea
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