| EU Labor Markets After Post-Enlargement Migration | 3 |
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| Preface | 5 |
| Contents | 6 |
| Part I: EU Enlargement and the Labor Markets: What Do We Know? | 8 |
| 1. Lessons from Migration after EU Enlargement | 9 |
| 1 Introduction | 10 |
| 2 Theoretical Framework:Causes and Impacts of Migration | 12 |
| 3 Post-Enlargement Migration | 15 |
| a. Actual Migration Trends and Trajectories | 15 |
| b. The Source Country Perspective | 23 |
| c. Who Migrated, and How Do They Fare? | 25 |
| 4 The Impact of Post-Enlargement Migration Flows: First Evidence | 32 |
| a. The Destination Countries | 32 |
| b. The Source Countries | 38 |
| 5 The Current Economic Crisis | 44 |
| 6 Conclusions | 45 |
| References | 48 |
| 2. Labor Mobility in the Enlarged EU: Who Wins, Who Loses? | 52 |
| 1 Introduction | 53 |
| 2 The Scale and Structure of Migration and Migration Scenarios | 55 |
| 2.1 The Scale of Migration | 55 |
| 2.2 The Structure of Migration | 57 |
| 2.3 Migration Scenarios | 58 |
| 3 Outline of the Models | 59 |
| 3.1 A Structural Model with Wage Rigidities | 60 |
| 3.2 Sketch of the CGE Model | 62 |
| 4 Presentation of the Simulation Results | 63 |
| 4.1 The Structural Impact on Labor Markets and Income Distribution | 63 |
| 4.2 The Sectoral Impact of Migration from the EU8 into the EU15 | 67 |
| 6 Conclusions | 71 |
| References | 74 |
| 3. Post-Enlargement Migration and Public Perception in the European Union | 76 |
| 1 Introduction | 77 |
| 2 Migration and Public Perception – Insights from Beutin et al. (2007) | 78 |
| 2.1 Analyzed Areas | 79 |
| 2.2 Results | 80 |
| 3 The Role of Public Perception in Policy-Making | 81 |
| 3.1 Public Perception and Social Disorganization Theory | 82 |
| 4 Emerging Indications of a More Nuanced Public Perception on Migration | 83 |
| 5 Public Perception and the Veil | 89 |
| 5.1 When the Veil Makes Headlines | 89 |
| 5.2 Facts and Figures about Islam and Public Perceptions | 90 |
| 5.3 The Situation in Some Member States | 91 |
| 5.4 The Stakes of the “Veil Controversy” | 93 |
| 5.5 Results | 98 |
| 6 Poles in the UK | 99 |
| 6.1 Labor Mobility Following the Recent Enlargements | 99 |
| 6.2 General State of Public Perception towards Migration in the UK | 101 |
| 6.3 Public Perception towards Poles | 102 |
| 6.4 Interaction between Policy and Public Perception | 104 |
| 7 The Securitization of Roma Migration in Italy | 105 |
| 7.1 Public Perception and the Roma in Italy | 106 |
| 7.2 The Securitization of Roma Migration since November 2007: Interaction between Perceptions and Policies | 107 |
| 7.3 Results | 108 |
| 8 Conclusions | 109 |
| References | 110 |
| Part II: The Impact of Migration on Destination Labor Markets | 113 |
| 4. EU Enlargement under Continued Mobility Restrictions: Consequences for the German Labor Market | 114 |
| 1 Introduction | 115 |
| 2 The Legal Framework | 116 |
| 3 Migration Movement and Background of People from EU8 Countries | 117 |
| 4 Descriptive Statistics | 120 |
| 5 Empirical Analysis | 126 |
| 6 Conclusions and Policy Recommendations | 130 |
| References | 132 |
| 5. The Experience of Spain with the Inflows of New Labor Migrants | 133 |
| 1 Introduction | 134 |
| 2 Main Characteristics of New EU12 Immigrants in Spain | 135 |
| 3 Labor Market Situation of New EU12 Immigrants Compared to Similarly Skilled Natives | 139 |
| 4 Labor Market Assimilation of New EU12 Immigrants Compared to Similarly Skilled Natives and Other Immigrants | 141 |
| 5 What Have We Learnt? Summary and Policy Conclusions | 144 |
| References | 146 |
| 6. EU Enlargement and Ireland’s Labor Market | 147 |
| 1 Introduction | 148 |
| 2 The Size of the Inflow | 148 |
| 3 The Characteristics and Experiences of the Inflow | 154 |
| 4 The Impacts of the EU10 Inflow | 158
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